Safety and Shipping Review

Our annual review of trends and developments in shipping losses and safety

The Safety and Shipping Review 2019 focuses on key developments in maritime safety and analyzes shipping losses and incidents (of over 100 gross tons) during the 12 months prior to December 31, 2018. It also identifies some of the key risk management challenges the maritime industry faces moving forward.

The Safety and Shipping Review from Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) is an annual report which also contains shipping loss and incident statistics from the past 10 years.

The international shipping industry is responsible for around 90% of world trade. There are around 60,000 merchant ships, transporting every kind of cargo. The world fleet is registered in over 150 nations [1], and manned by over a million seafarers, meaning the safety of vessels is critical. The maritime industry saw the number of total shipping losses of vessels over 100GT plummet during 2018 to 46 – the lowest total this century. To put this into context there were 207 total losses reported in 2000.

Shipping losses declined by a record level of more than 50% year-on-year from 98 in 2017, driven by a significant fall in hotspots around the world and weather-related losses halving after a quieter year of hurricane and typhoon activity. The 2018 loss year is exceptional compared with the rolling 10-year loss average of 104 (down by 55%). Meanwhile, over the past decade, shipping losses have declined by 65%. Improved ship design and technology, stepped-up regulation and advances in risk management and safety are driving the sector’s long-term loss improvement. More robust safety management systems and procedures on vessels is also a factor in preventing breakdowns, accidents and other mistakes from escalating into total losses.

  • There were 46 losses in 2018 - the lowest this century.
  • The annual decline in shipping losses is more than 50%.
  • There have been 8,862 machinery damage incidents in 10 years, up by more than a third over this period.
  • The value of 230,000 marine insurance industry claims in five years is almost $10bn. Ship sinking/collision incidents account for 16% of this total.
  • 174 fire incidents were reported in 2018.

The South China, Indochina, Indonesia and Philippines maritime region remains the major loss location over the past decade. More than a quarter (26%) of all losses over the past year globally occurred here (12). However, this represents a significant fall year-on-year (29 in 2017) and is the first time the region has seen losses decline in four years, reflecting the fact that Asia-based international shipping operations are typically well run and have claims frequency rates on a par with European counterparts. Newer infrastructure, better port operations and more up-to-date charts will also help to address safety challenges in the region, such as an overall increase in the frequency and cost of collision, grounding and fire incidents in some locations. The East Mediterranean and Black Sea region (6) is the second most frequent loss location.

Cargo vessels (15) were involved in a third of losses during 2018, driven by activity in the top loss hotspots globally. Foundering (sinking) has been the cause of over half of all vessel losses (53%) over the past decade and was the primary cause of 65% of losses (30) in 2018. Analysis of more than 230,000 marine insurance industry claims with a value of almost $10bn between July 2013 and July 2018 by AGCS shows that ship sinking/ collision incidents are the most expensive cause of loss for insurers, accounting for 16% of the value of all claims – equivalent to more than $1.5bn.

While the number of losses has fallen significantly over the past year in particular, the number of shipping casualties or incidents (2,698) remains challenging, declining by less than 1%. The East Mediterranean and Black Sea is the top incident hotspot, accounting for one in five incidents globally. Activity is up in this region year-on-year, driven by machinery damage/failure incidents, which is also the top cause of shipping incidents globally, accounting for 40% of incidents in 2018 (1,079).

Of the 26,000+ reported shipping incidents over the past decade, more than a third (8,862) have been caused by machinery damage or failure – over twice as many as the next highest cause. Such incidents have increased by a third over the past decade with rising costs. Machinery damage is one of the largest causes of marine insurance claims, according to AGCS, causing $1bn+ worth of damage for the insurance sector over five years – the third most expensive cause of marine claims. A growing number of engine manufacturers are now installing  "Internet of Things" devices to collect real-time data which can be used to issue recommendations to vessels and carry out maintenance, potentially preventing breakdowns before they happen.

[1] International Chamber of Shipping
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Annual survey identifying business risks

Technology is breeding new threats as well as business models. Traditional risks such as natural catastrophes continue to challenge while other threats such as cyber, neck-and-neck with business interruption at the top of the Allianz Risk Barometer 2019 for the first time, reputational risk, increasing exposure to intangible assets and volatility and consolidation in the corporate environment evolve daily.

Top 3 risks in the Marine & Shipping sector in 2019

  1. Natural catastrophes (34%) - 2018 rank: 1 (34%)
  2. Cyber incidents (32%) - 2018 rank: 2 (31%)
  3. Market developments (28%)  
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